Tom Brady rebounds in dominating style vs. Miami in Week 5

On Sunday towards the Miami Dolphins, Tom Brady had one of the productive video games of his total profession. Let’s look at his superior metrics to see how this efficiency stacks as much as his different video games as Tampa Bay Buccaneers QB.

Tom Brady’s field rating statistics had been spectacular on Sunday

Purely taking a look at his field rating statistics, Brady had one of many higher video games you’ll see from a quarterback. He threw for 411 yards and 5 touchdowns, and he did it with out Rob Gronkowski, who had been enjoying effectively earlier than his harm.

It’s a efficiency that appeared unimaginable just some quick years in the past and solely serves as extra proof that the divorce from New England was good for Brady.

The superior metrics additionally mirrored positively on the Buccaneers QB

You may surprise how a lot inventory we will actually put in Brady’s efficiency because it got here towards a Dolphins crew that appears to be on the verge of complete collapse. Luckily, we will flip to the superior metrics, which, on this case, verify what the standard statistics inform us.

As proof, let’s flip to the Offensive Worth Metric (OVM). The OVM is a grading system created by the (Bx) Motion to guage gamers primarily based on how a lot they contribute to the creation of their statistics, quite than the statistics themselves.

Going into Week 5, Brady’s OVM grades had been persistently falling every week of the season, beginning at 27.63 in Week 1 and steadily dropping to 19.71 in Week 4.

Towards the Dolphins, nonetheless, Brady earned a grade of 33.95. That was the seventh-highest grade amongst all quarterbacks in Week 5 and Brady’s greatest rating to this point this season.

Not solely does that grade suggest that Brady was exceptionally productive on Sunday, however he was additionally a extra environment friendly quarterback than he had been at another time this season.

The superior metrics behind Brady’s glorious grade final week

To clarify why Brady’s grade in Week 5 was so spectacular, we have to look at the superior metrics concerned in calculating it and evaluate them to his performances earlier within the yr.

To start out with, the Buccaneers QB persistently pushed the ball downfield, averaging 10.02 yards per completion. That was the fifth-farthest distance within the NFL on Sunday. In the meantime, he averaged 6.2 air yards per completion. Each marks had been Brady’s second-best of the season.

Regardless of airing it out, he nonetheless accomplished 73.2% of his move makes an attempt, the fifth-highest proportion of the week and Brady’s second-highest of the season. Based on the NFL’s projections, that quantity was 7.8% increased than anticipated (eighth-best on the week). It was Brady’s greatest mark of 2021 by greater than 3%.

Positive, there have been different weeks this season through which Brady carried out higher in sure areas than he did on Sunday. Nonetheless, Week 5 was the one sport through which he carried out effectively in each aspect.

Evaluating Brady’s weekly grades from 2020

To assist us decide whether or not Brady’s Week 5 grade is an indication of extra to return, let’s look again at his 2020 grades for some context.

Within the chart under, you possibly can see Brady’s weekly grades from final season, marked by the black dots. For comparability, the regular-season grade on common for quarterbacks in 2020 is represented by the yellow line.

As you possibly can see, Brady was pretty inconsistent. Whereas lots of his grades had been above the league common, they coated a variety. He had a number of grades under 20 factors, although none under 10.

Nonetheless, he did earn a season-best grade of 56.04 in Week 16, simply the best grade earned by any quarterback in 2020. In the long run, most of his grades had been between 20-40 factors.

Curiously, there doesn’t look like any specific sample. Brady didn’t have lengthy stretches of low or excessive grades, which has fascinating implications. On the one hand, it does imply his efficiency on Sunday gained’t essentially translate into the following few weeks. Alternatively, it signifies that his early-season development possible wasn’t an indication of any form of general regression.

Can he maintain his momentum towards the Philadelphia Eagles?

Regardless of his staggering success on Sunday, Brady may not see the identical explosive numbers on Thursday Evening Soccer towards the Eagles. Philadelphia’s protection has but to permit a 300-yard passer however has additionally failed to permit fewer than 100 yards dashing in a sport. It could make sense for Tampa Bay to undertake a extra run-focused technique.

In fact, a quarterback can nonetheless earn a excessive OVM grade with out distinctive field rating statistics. We’ll see if Brady can proceed to guide his crew to environment friendly success.


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