Probably the most invaluable RB in fantasy soccer

Jonathan Taylor enters the 2022 season as one of the invaluable belongings in dynasty leagues. Provided that he’s coming off an total RB1 end, Taylor’s dynasty worth is at an all-time excessive. How ought to dynasty fantasy soccer managers worth Taylor going ahead?

Jonathan Taylor’s dynasty profile for 2022

Taylor burst onto the scene as a rookie in 2020. Exterior of a three-game stretch the place he inexplicably barely performed, Taylor confirmed all of the indicators of a future elite RB1. He completed his rookie season as the general RB8 (minimal eight video games performed), averaging 17 PPR fantasy factors per sport.

As a sophomore, Taylor turned the prince that was promised. He averaged 22.4 ppg and trailed solely Derrick Henry in ppg. Since Henry solely performed eight video games, I’m prepared to crown Taylor the general RB1 from 2021.

Taylor led the NFL in a number of classes final season. Amongst them have been carries (332), dashing yards (1,811), yards from scrimmage (2,171), and whole touchdowns (20). He additionally led all operating backs in evaded tackles per contact and was high 5 in yards created per contact. Taylor was an elite dominant pressure that did it with each quantity and effectivity.

Now getting into his third NFL season, Taylor is trying to change into the primary operating again to repeat as the general RB1 since Priest Holmes in 2003. Fantasy managers know to worth Taylor extremely. However simply how excessive ought to dynasty managers be valuing Taylor in 2022?

Fantasy projection for Taylor

Though historical past is working in opposition to Taylor ending as the general RB1 once more, don’t let that influence his standing as essentially the most invaluable operating again in each dynasty and redraft leagues. Even when Taylor isn’t the very best operating again in fantasy this season, he’s very more likely to end inside the highest 5.

The Indianapolis Colts have top-of-the-line offensive traces in soccer. Amongst operating backs with a minimum of 150 carries, Taylor was fourth in yards per carry earlier than contact. However don’t go pondering his offensive line propped him up. Taylor was tied with Javonte Williams for first in yards after contact per carry. Moreover, he led all operating backs with a minimum of 150 makes an attempt in yards per carry at 5.5 and is able to doing it once more.

If there’s any knock on Taylor, it’s his crew’s reluctance to provide him a real three-down function. Taylor is a succesful move catcher, however he averaged solely 3 targets per sport final season. It’s attainable to common 20-24 ppg once more with out a rise in receiving work, but when Taylor needs to achieve Christian McCaffrey-level heights, he’s going to wish extra receptions. Sadly, the Colts’ choice to signal Nyheim Hines to a three-year extension suggests Taylor gained’t immediately be given extra work within the passing sport.

With that mentioned, Taylor continues to be one among a choose few operating backs just about sure to the touch the ball 20 instances a sport. Whereas I don’t assume he finishes as the general RB1 once more, I count on him to common a minimum of 20 ppg. Harm is the one factor that may get in the best way of Taylor and one other top-five end.

What’s Taylor’s future past 2022?

Taylor is in his third NFL season and is simply 23 years previous. Dynasty managers ought to by no means actually look greater than 2-3 years forward with regards to operating backs, however Taylor is a novel participant.

It’s best to really feel assured in a minimum of six extra years of dominance from Taylor. There are only a few backs with elite expertise, quantity, and job safety. Taylor has all three.

If there’s any concern with Taylor long run, it’s his crew’s quarterback state of affairs. 2022 will likely be Taylor’s third skilled season along with his third completely different beginning QB.

37-year-old Matt Ryan is undoubtedly not the Colts’ quarterback of the long run. He’s one other veteran stopgap as they try and capitalize on their win-now window. Nevertheless, if Ryan offers a transparent improve over Carson Wentz (which he ought to), he’s not so previous that he can’t dangle round for one more couple of years.

What can fantasy managers count on from Taylor?

Ryan is a stationary pocket passer. He’s not going to take off and run as a substitute of checking it all the way down to his operating backs. Though Taylor could not play on most third downs, he can nonetheless profit from first and second-down dump-offs.

Taylor really had a wholesome 10.6% goal share final season. The issue — if we need to name it that — is the Colts ran the ball on the fifth-highest fee within the NFL. I query whether or not it is a downside because the man getting all of the carries is Taylor. However since targets are virtually 3 times extra invaluable than carries, fantasy managers wouldn’t thoughts if a few of these carries have been transformed into targets.

So the issue wasn’t with Taylor’s goal share — it was along with his crew’s whole move makes an attempt. If he can enhance barely on his 10% goal share and the Colts belief Ryan to throw greater than they did Wentz, Taylor might be one other goal per sport. That may go a good distance towards Taylor persevering with to enhance his already sky-high fantasy worth.

At worst, Taylor ought to as soon as once more be among the many league leaders in carries. He led all operating backs in goal-line carries final season, too. This can be a participant that had an 11-week stretch final season the place he completed as an RB1, by no means scoring beneath 18 fantasy factors throughout that run. Whether or not you’re attempting to win a title this 12 months or rebuilding, Taylor needs to be the cornerstone of your dynasty plans in 2022.

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