Rams As much as No. 3 in Weighted DVOA

NFL Wild Card – The Los Angeles Rams put up over 100% DVOA for his or her large blowout win over the Arizona Cardinals final evening and transfer as much as third in weighted DVOA this week. The Rams now come out because the highest-rated remaining workforce within the NFC. Nevertheless, they might be basically tied with the Inexperienced Bay Packers if we eliminated the video games the place Inexperienced Bay had to make use of a backup quarterback. Additionally, the Rams are excessive partly due to weighted particular groups being at No. 1, and as we all know, particular groups is the least constant of the three phases of the sport.

One vital word for the Rams is that Tampa Bay falls to sixth in weighted DVOA regardless of the large win over the Eagles. Tampa Bay is the one remaining workforce within the postseason with a weighted DVOA decrease than its complete DVOA (together with the playoffs).

A reminder once more on how playoff DVOA works:

  • All 32 groups are ranked, whether or not they made the playoffs or not.
  • Groups are ranked so as of weighted DVOA, not complete season DVOA. Since weighted DVOA is supposed to decrease the energy of older video games, these rankings don’t embrace Weeks 1-3, and Weeks 4-11 are considerably discounted.
  • The rankings listed don’t embrace the changes used within the rankings for our playoff odds report. For instance, Inexperienced Bay strikes up considerably in these rankings as a result of I eliminated Week 18 in addition to the offense from Week 9 (Jordan Love).
  • Solely weighted DVOA is listed for offense, protection, and particular groups. Complete DVOA can also be listed, however one recreation would not change a lot in a 17-game pattern so these rankings will probably be just like these from the tip of the season.
  • Groups which didn’t play within the wild-card spherical are handled as if that they had a bye week. (That features each the 18 non-playoff groups and the 2 groups with byes.)

The numbers under are barely totally different from the numbers we ran for weighted DVOA yesterday as a result of we found an error within the calculation of weighted particular groups together with the playoffs. The modifications are small however they do lead to Buffalo popping out No. 1 in weighted DVOA, barely forward of the eradicated Dallas Cowboys.

Yesterday, I ran an inventory of the highest playoff video games in DVOA historical past. Within the feedback, reader “andrew” requested the place the Patriots got here out on the other record, an inventory of the worst playoff video games in DVOA historical past. For varied causes — particular groups, penalties, opponent changes — one workforce’s DVOA shouldn’t be a mirror picture of the opposite workforce’s DVOA. So for comparability functions, right here is the record of the worst playoff video games by DVOA since 1983. The Patriots come out seventh.

Worst Playoff Video games by Complete DVOA, 1983-2021
Group Yr Week Opp. Complete
Rating Opp
IND 2002 WC NYJ -128.8% -54.8% 47.5% -26.6% 41-0 6
MIN 2000 CCG NYG -124.1% -78.2% 39.2% -6.8% 41-0 11
NYG 1993 DIV SF -109.1% -77.9% 29.2% -2.0% 44-3 2
NO 1987 WC MIN -107.3% -69.4% 15.4% -22.5% 44-10 11
MIA 1999 DIV JAX -105.2% -76.0% 30.4% 1.2% 62-7 2
DEN 2011 DIV NE -103.9% -59.9% 37.4% -6.7% 45-10 4
NE 2021 WC BUF -98.3% -8.3% 84.6% -5.5% 47-17 2
NYG 2005 WC CAR -97.8% -67.1% 25.7% -5.0% 23-0 9
LARM 1983 DIV WAS -97.2% -45.1% 28.6% -23.5% 51-7 1
SD 1992 DIV MIA -95.9% -71.1% 14.1% -10.7% 31-0 11
NYG 2000 SB BAL -95.2% -96.2% -11.1% -10.0% 34-7 3

It is form of superb that the Giants find yourself with destructive particular groups within the worst Tremendous Bowl efficiency ever, regardless of the Ron Dixon 97-yard kickoff return landing. However Dixon additionally fumbled away a kickoff return, and the Giants allowed their very own kickoff return landing to Jermaine Lewis.

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To avoid wasting folks a while, we remind everybody to place their indignant troll hatred into the official zlionsfan indignant troll hatred Mad Libs kind:

<workforce> is clearly ranked <too excessive/too low> as a result of <purpose unrelated to DVOA>. <subjective rating system> is method higher than this. <unrelated team-supporting or -denigrating remark, ideally with poor spelling and/or chat-acceptable spelling>

In case you are new to our web site, you’ll be able to learn the reason of how DVOA is figured right here. As all the time, optimistic numbers characterize extra factors so DEFENSE is best when it’s NEGATIVE.

There are not any changes right here for sitting starters in Week 18, though we do alter the rankings that we use within the playoff odds report.

Groups in yellow are nonetheless alive within the playoffs. Groups in grey misplaced this previous weekend.

Click on right here for a take a look at full-season DVOA with offensive and defensive splits.

Subsequent, let’s take a look at all of the single-game rankings from wild-card weekend.


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