Kyler Murray hurts probabilities, Tom Brady, Aaron Rodgers enhance their odds

The place does the 2021 NFL MVP race stand as we head in direction of Week 15 of the 2021 NFL season? Let’s break down the present NFL odds for the MVP award as the 2 stalwarts of Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers look like in a two-horse race, whereas the likes of Kyler Murray and Josh Allen fall again considerably.

NFL MVP race heading into Week 15

  • -175 | QB Tom Brady 
  • +500 | QB Aaron Rodgers
  • +1200 | QB Kyler Murray
  • +1400 | QB Matthew Stafford
  • +1400 | QB Patrick Mahomes
  • +1400 | QB Dak Prescott
  • +1600 | QB Justin Herbert
  • +2000 | QB Josh Allen
  • +2000 | RB Jonathan Taylor
  • +5000 | WR Cooper Kupp

Tom Brady takes one other step nearer to his fourth MVP award

As the opposite contenders seemingly proceed to fall round him, the immortal Tom Brady stands tall on the entrance of the 2021 NFL MVP race. Brady threw for 363 yards with 2 touchdowns, together with a walk-off TD to achieve 700 complete profession passing touchdowns. Curiously, this was Brady’s first in six video games the place he didn’t throw an interception.

Brady’s place on the prime of the MVP standings is mirrored in the way in which he presently sits atop quite a few statistics. He leads the league in go yards and touchdowns. Moreover, he ranks within the prime 5 in landing proportion and passer score, in addition to prime 10 in yards per try.

Nonetheless, while you take a look at PFN’s Offensive Worth Metric, Brady is ranked fifteenth among the many QB place on the subject of including worth to his offense. OVM grades gamers primarily based on metrics inside their management. For instance, if a QB throws a display that goes for a 75-yard TD, OVM solely grades him on the preliminary display go, not what occurs after that.

Brady is surrounded by a number of proficient gamers and has a well-designed offense to work inside. Subsequently, he doesn’t need to elevate the offense round him as a lot as different QBs. That doesn’t imply he doesn’t should probably be the MVP, but it surely does counsel his odds are considerably higher than they maybe needs to be.

Monday Night time Soccer provided Kyler Murray an enormous alternative within the 2021 NFL MVP race. It was the primary of two prime-time alternatives to make his case for the award. Sadly, it didn’t go fairly to plan. Whereas Murray threw for 383 yards in opposition to the Los Angeles Rams, he additionally threw 2 expensive interceptions.

The primary of these got here contained in the pink zone. Arizona had a second-and-4 from the Rams’ 4-yard line whereas main 3-0. Murray then tried to squeeze a go to Zach Ertz ultimately zone, just for Aaron Donald to tip the ball and Ernest Jones take it 31 yards the opposite approach. That interception would begin a drive that might give the Rams a 7-3 lead.

The second of the two interceptions was maybe the extra damning. From his personal 25-yard line, as soon as once more searching for Ertz, Murray threw an INT to Leonard Floyd. That might set the Rams up at Arizona’s 19-yard line, the place they’d go on to attain a landing to guide 27-13.

For all the great Murray did on this sport, each passing and along with his legs, the abiding reminiscence is the two expensive interceptions. The primary turned a nearly assured 3 factors for the Cardinals right into a landing for the Rams. In the meantime, the second gave LA the ball in a spot the place they have been nearly assured to increase their result in two scores. It’s no shock that Murray’s odds within the 2021 NFL MVP race have lengthened significantly.


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